Conditional Someone Born before 2001 Lives to 150?

condition

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

3 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

4 4 comments

3 forecasters

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Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?	Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

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if No

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Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Apr 23, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2151

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

29% chance

1.6k

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65% chance

Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Apr 23, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2151

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

29% chance

1.6k

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65% chance