83 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-10-17 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

42%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 30, 2025

Closed:

Sep 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 17, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 30, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

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