89 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.70% on 2025-10-18 for the Metaculus question "In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents?"?

30%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 4, 2025

Closes:

Oct 4, 2025

Resolved:

Oct 18, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 4, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes