89 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 10.00% on 2025-10-09 for the Metaculus question "Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?"?

35%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 2, 2025

Closed:

Oct 2, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 9, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 2, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes