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3 comments
85 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?

1%chance
1%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Oct 1, 2025
Closes:Oct 15, 2025
Resolved:Oct 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
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USA Today logo
7 things to watch for signs of the government shutdown ending
USA Today•Oct 15, 2025
USA Today logo
Is the US government still closed? Here's what we know on Wednesday, Oct. 15.
USA Today•Oct 15, 2025
FOX News logo
Prediction markets see cloudy outlook as traders bet on extended shutdown
FOX News•Oct 15, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

40% chance
51

When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown?

23 Oct 2025
(19 Oct 2025 10:51 - 27 Oct 2025)
23 Oct 2025
(19 Oct 2025 10:51 - 27 Oct 2025)
30 forecasters

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10% chance
157
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