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10 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?

55%chance
5 pp today
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Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Oct 1, 2025
Closes:Oct 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025
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When will the government reopen? Here's how long past shutdowns lasted
NPR Online News•Oct 1, 2025
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What happens now that a government shutdown is underway
PBS NewsHour•Oct 1, 2025
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Government Shutdown End Date, According to Betting Odds
Newsweek•Oct 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown?

15 Oct 2025
(11 Oct 2025 - 20 Oct 2025)
15 Oct 2025
(11 Oct 2025 - 20 Oct 2025)
19 forecasters

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10% chance
153

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85% chance
21
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