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17
45
forecasters
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45 forecasters
Elections
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What proportion of House Republican incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
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GOP House advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
-8.35 seats
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US House plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
84%
Republicans
15.9%
Other
0.1%
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GOP Senate advantage after 2026 midterms?
Current estimate
0.66 seats
4 comments
27 forecasters
Dem House before 2027?
10.6%
chance
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117 forecasters
US Congress Control After 2026 Midterms
Dem Senate / Dem House
38.5%
Rep Senate / Rep House
12.7%
Dem Senate / Rep House
2%
Rep Senate / Dem House
46.8%
2 comments
93 forecasters
US House maps show a ≥20 seat party advantage in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
20%
2027-2028
24%
0 comments
177 forecasters
Will the House seat a legislator who was not certified winner before July 2027?
4%
chance
16 comments
416 forecasters
US Senate plurality after 2026 midterms?
Democrats
46%
Republicans
53.9%
Other
0.1%