Question
What proportion of Senate Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?
Resolved:9Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction
14.5
(8.9 - 20.1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 8.895 | — |
| median | 14.48 | — |
| upper 75% | 20.15 | — |
What was the final result?9
Community Baseline Score
90.8
Community Peer Score
38.5
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
