When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?
Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opens:Oct 18, 2025
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 22, 2025