49 comments
258 forecasters
When will an AI system score an impressive defeat of a professional human in Starcraft 2?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolved:Feb 5, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2017
When will AI first be revealed to be superhuman at the board game Diplomacy?
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(02 Mar 2026 - 30 Apr 2029)
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100 forecasters
When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?
20 May 2026
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20 May 2026
(19 Apr 2025 - 25 Nov 2027)
41 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Nov 2030
(27 Jul 2026 - Mar 2040)
Nov 2030
(27 Jul 2026 - Mar 2040)
181 forecasters