9 forecasters

Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?

6%chance

3.8 pp today

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Oct 13, 2025

Closes:

Nov 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2025

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