94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-10-22 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

35%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 13, 2025

Closed:

Oct 13, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 22, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes