174 forecasters

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

99.9%chance

99.9%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 11, 2020

Closes:

Nov 9, 2056

Resolved:

Aug 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 13, 2020