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1
6
forecasters
1 comment
6 forecasters
Geopolitics
1 more...
condition
US attacks Venezuela before 2026?
Resolved:
Yes
6 forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America by February 1, 2026?
24%
24%
Resolved:
Yes
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America by February 1, 2026?
14%
14%
Resolved:
Annulled
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if No
14%
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Coup d'etat likelihood
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Haiti
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Mali
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2.3%
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15%
chance
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44%
chance
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127 forecasters
Venezuela to invade Guyana
2030
2%
2024
result:
No
2025
result:
No
6 comments
63 forecasters
US response if Venezuela invades Guyana 2030
97%
chance
210 comments
231 forecasters
Civil War before 2036?
Sudan
result:
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
Democratic Republic of Congo
55%
51 others