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32 forecasters
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
80%chance
8 points
Top Key Factors
Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2025
Closes:Oct 5, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Oct 5, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2025
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
10% chance
137
Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
50% chance
8
Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?
5% chance
1k