50 forecasters

Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?

36%chance

36%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 36% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 19, 2025

Closes:

Oct 29, 2025

Resolved:

Oct 30, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 23, 2025

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