Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?
Current estimate
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Opened:Oct 22, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 26, 2025
Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?
92% chance
117
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
90% chance
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What will be the federal deficit in the United States in the following fiscal years in millions of dollars?
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