0 comments
97 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
32%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Authors:
Opened:Oct 27, 2025
Closed:Oct 27, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Nov 7, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 27, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes