96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 60.00% on 2025-11-06 for the Metaculus question "Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?"?

45%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 45% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 28, 2025

Closes:

Oct 28, 2025

Resolved:

Nov 6, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 28, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes