Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolved:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2017
When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?
24 Apr 2028
(27 Mar 2026 - Apr 2033)
24 Apr 2028
(27 Mar 2026 - Apr 2033)
627 forecasters
When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?
01 Jun 2029
(02 Feb 2026 - May 2034)
01 Jun 2029
(02 Feb 2026 - May 2034)
31 forecasters
When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?
26 May 2027
(27 Sep 2025 - 21 Feb 2030)
26 May 2027
(27 Sep 2025 - 21 Feb 2030)
141 forecasters