96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

31.3%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Authors:

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Opened:

Oct 28, 2025

Closed:

Oct 28, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 28, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes