Question
If cryonics is at some point offered for free, what percentage of Americans will be signed up within 10 years?
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
4.01%
(0.441% - 23.4%)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<3×10⁻⁴% | 3.6% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 0.4411% | — |
median | 4.007% | — |
upper 75% | 23.43% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2066
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 29, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 27, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2066
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 29, 2020