108 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

14.9%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Authors:

AutoQuestionsBot

Opened:

Oct 26, 2025

Closed:

Oct 26, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 26, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

Fall 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

$38 Trillion U.S. Debt Paradox

Forbes•Oct 29, 2025

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill will push US debt levels beyond those of Greece or Italy, IMF forecast predicts

Independent•Oct 28, 2025

Solving the Debt Crisis...even if it is not a crisis at all.

OpEdNews•Oct 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?