Question

How many reviews will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2021?

Resolved:Ambiguous
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
80.4
(52.8 - 123)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%52.82
median80.36
upper 75%123.4
Upper bound
>10000.4%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Opened:Apr 9, 2020
Closes:Dec 30, 2020
Resolves:Dec 30, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 10, 2020