Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
3
comments
Will China publicly sell domestic AI accelerators to Russia by 2030?
Current estimate
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
HamishL
Opened:
Nov 7, 2025
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Nov 11, 2025
Technology
Artificial Intelligence
Geopolitics
News Match
Nvidia's Jensen Huang softens his ‘China will win the AI race’ remark to FT
CNBC
•
Nov 6, 2025
Trump Will Allow China To Buy Nvidia Chips But Not Its ‘Most Advanced’
Forbes
•
Nov 3, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will a frontier AI developer publicly accuse a Russian actor of stealing their model weights before 2030?
1
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?
80%
chance
43
Will the US and China reach a formal agreement to limit frontier AI training or deployment before 2029?
7%
chance
118
Show More Questions
