Question

When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?

Total Forecasters624
Community Prediction
22 Jan 2028
(22 Feb 2026 - Sep 2032)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%22 Feb 2026
median22 Jan 2028
upper 75%Sep 2032
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2016
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2017