Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

121 forecasters

16

121 forecasters

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

1 comment40 forecasters

5Y after AGI, Windfall Clause activated?

2 comments49 forecasters

AI benefits redistribution mechanism?

6 comments97 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet CEO pledge AI autonomy limits before 2027?

5 comments29 forecasters

OpenAI Triggers 'Assist Clause'

12 comments128 forecasters

Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?

3 comments76 forecasters

Before 2028, will a top-5 US insurer exclude AI lacking human override?

21 comments110 forecasters

US-China AGI-limiting treaty signed before 2030?

1 comment31 forecasters

US-China AI Treaty