Question
When will 10M people be administered a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :30 Jan 2021Total Forecasters272
Community Prediction
02 Feb 2021
(20 Jan 2021 - 17 Feb 2021)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 20 Jan 2021 | — |
| median | 02 Feb 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 17 Feb 2021 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >168091200000% | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?30 Jan 2021
Community Baseline Score
45.2
Community Peer Score
35.2
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Apr 8, 2021
Resolves:Apr 8, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Apr 8, 2021
Resolves:Apr 8, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020
