2
7 forecasters
Will the following countries enact mandatory military service before 2040?
Australia
Belgium
Canada
France
Top Key Factors
Relatively high targets set for military numbers up until early 2030s
Increases Likelihood
US pressure could lead to German conscription
Increases Likelihood for Germany
Relatively high financial incentives to join German military voluntarily
Decreases Likelihood for Germany
Russia's aggression and war in Ukraine may prompt conscription
Increases Likelihood for Germany