18 comments
112 forecasters
Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Dec 8, 2020
Resolved:Dec 22, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020