Question

Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters112
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
31.5
Community Peer Score
27.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Dec 8, 2020
Resolves:Dec 22, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2020