Question
What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction
0.424
(0.215 - 0.929)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.1 | 6.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.2151 | — |
| median | 0.4241 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.929 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10 | 4.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2032
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 15, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 13, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2032
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 15, 2020