4 comments
50 forecasters
Will China Oceanwide Holdings Group Co., Ltd. complete an acquisition of Genworth (GNW) before July 1, 2020?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2020
Closes:Jul 1, 2020
Resolved:Jul 1, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2020
Will the United States and China sign a formal, verifiable bilateral treaty or accord specifically limiting Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) development by December 31, 2030?
5% chance
61
Will the US government take control of any US AI company or project before 2029?
20% chance
139
Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?
55% chance
9