Question
Assuming some humans are alive, what will be the birthdate of the oldest living human on January 1, 2200?
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction
Feb 2036
(1965 - 2078)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1965 | — |
| median | Feb 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | 2078 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2084 | 19.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 9, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 9, 2020