33
853 forecasters
Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025?
ResolvedNo
Gold reserves shift increases probability
Increases Likelihood
Recent tension spikes add probability
Increases Likelihood
Valuation effects could lead to mechanical drop
Increases Likelihood
November holdings at $682.6B close to $675B
Increases Likelihood
Foreign holdings of US Treasuries at all-time high in November, but China pulls back | Reutersreuters.com•Jan 15, 2026
Increases Likelihood
A few quick words on the November TIC data | Council on Foreign Relationscfr.org•Jan 16, 2009
Increases Likelihood
United States US Treasuries Held by Chinatradingeconomics.com•Feb 15, 2026
Increases Likelihood
BRICS nations dumping Treasuries
Increases Likelihood
China discourages banks from buying dollars
Increases Likelihood