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36
243
forecasters
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36 comments
243 forecasters
AGI Outcomes
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After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
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Current estimate
26.2 months
26.2 months
(5.96 - 165)
Forecast Timeline
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1w
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Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
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Time between weak AGI and oracle ASI