Question
What will be the first year during which most deaths are from non-disease related causes and fewer than 1% of humans die?
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
2153
(May 2073 - >2299)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | May 2073 | — |
| median | 2153 | — |
| upper 75% | >2299 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2299 | 27.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 14, 2090
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2125
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 14, 2090
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2125
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2020