68
1.6k forecasters
Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026?
ResolvedNo
GPT 5.3 should be out soon as announced by Sam Altman
Increases Likelihood
GPT-6 release unlikely before deadline. Expected mid-late '26.
Decreases Likelihood
Claude Sonnet 5 released this week?manifold.markets•Feb 2, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Anthropic beating OpenAI to startup market
Increases Likelihood
API prices declining consistently
Increases Likelihood
Ads are coming soon to ChatGPT, starting with shopping linkstheverge.com•Jan 16, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Next model release in January rumored
Increases Likelihood
No announced pre-March price cuts
Decreases Likelihood
Next pricing event post-deadline
Decreases Likelihood
OpenAI Pricing in 2026 for Individuals, Orgs & Developersfinout.io•Feb 27, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
How GPT-5.2 compares to GPT-5.1medium.com•Dec 13, 2025
Decreases Likelihood
Microsoft and Alphabet capex plans
Decreases Likelihood
Consolidating AI API pricing reduces cuts
Decreases Likelihood
Pricing | OpenAI APIdevelopers.openai.com•May 13, 2024
Decreases Likelihood
Introduction of new pricing tiers or bundles
Increases Likelihood
Competitive pressure from other AI providers
Increases Likelihood
High inference and infrastructure costs
Decreases Likelihood
OpenAI pricing is already expensive
Decreases Likelihood
Increased token calls via Agentic Workflows
Increases Likelihood