39
1k forecasters
Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026?
Ryazan
Kstovo (Lukoil)
Omsk
Ukraine has attacked the Ryazan Refinery almost every month since November 2025
Increases Likelihood for Ryazan
Ukraine has made Russia’s refining sector a strategic liabilitynewsbase.com•Jan 21, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Ukraine targeting military not refineries recently
Decreases Likelihood
Trump says Putin agreed to temporary halt in energy attacks on Ukraine, but terms remain unclearpbs.org•Jan 30, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Ryazan more likely due to retaliation potential
Increases Likelihood for Ryazan
Kstovo closer to frontline than Omsk
Increases Likelihood for Kstovo (Lukoil)