31
768 forecasters
Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026?
ResolvedNo
57% historical monthly moves of 20 bps
Increases Likelihood
Skepticism for 20bp+ move without macro shock
Decreases Likelihood
ECB rates signal stable conditions
Decreases Likelihood
Skepticism for 20bp+ move without macro shock
Decreases Likelihood
Yields contained within narrow range
Decreases Likelihood
ECB Meeting (Feb 5) & Inflation Data
Increases Likelihood
Current flat yield movement trends
Decreases Likelihood
Trump touts 'total access' Greenland deal as NATO asks allies to step up | Reutersreuters.com•Jan 22, 2026
Decreases Likelihood