28
876 forecasters
Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026?
ResolvedNo
Geopolitical tensions reduce Chinese tourism
Decreases Likelihood
Chinese Airlines Slash Japan Capacity by 25 % Amid Diplomatic Tensionvisahq.com•Dec 2, 2025
Decreases Likelihood
Seasonal trends mean higher early-month relative Korean visitation
Decreases Likelihood
Stronger CNY relative to JPY (compared to SKW)
Increases Likelihood
Chinese New Year affects February not January
Decreases Likelihood
China warns citizens against Japan travel during Chinese New Yearchannelnewsasia.com•Jan 26, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
China Freezes Travel Permits to Taiwan Over Rising Tensionstime.com•Jul 31, 2019
Decreases Likelihood
Japan tourist arrivals rise to record in December despite China drop | Reutersreuters.com•Jan 20, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Tourist numbers from China vs South Korea
562600in824500