Question
How much karma will the top LessWrong post in 2020 have?
Resolved:310Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
265
(257 - 284)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <235 | 5.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 256.5 | — |
| median | 265.3 | — |
| upper 75% | 283.6 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >450 | 0.7% | — |
What was the final result?310
Community Baseline Score
15.9
Community Peer Score
5.4
Authors:
Opened:Apr 23, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 25, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 23, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 25, 2020