Question
What will the May 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?
Resolved:2.5Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
-10
(-11.4 - -8.59)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-20 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -11.4 | — |
| median | -10.02 | — |
| upper 75% | -8.591 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?2.5
Community Peer Score
15.7
Authors:
Opened:May 9, 2020
Closes:May 31, 2020
Resolves:Jun 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:May 11, 2020
On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?
728
What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?
114k
Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?
Authors:
Opened:May 9, 2020
Closes:May 31, 2020
Resolves:Jun 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:May 11, 2020
On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?
728
What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?
114k