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25 comments
81 forecasters

LRT 1.5: How many deaths due to COVID-19 will occur in the US in 2020?

community
147k
result
336.811k
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
dan
Opened:Apr 20, 2020
Closes:Apr 21, 2020
Resolved:Jan 10, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2020
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
2020 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

74.3k deaths
(27.8k - 219k)
74.3k deaths
(27.8k - 219k)
39 forecasters

How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

75.9k deaths
(47.3k - 139k)
75.9k deaths
(47.3k - 139k)
27 forecasters
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