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7
60
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13
7 comments
60 forecasters
Sports & Entertainment
When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?
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Current estimate
Aug 2033
Aug 2033
(30 Mar 2029 - >Jan 2040)
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Forecast Timeline
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3 comments
32 forecasters
New #1 FIDE-Ranked Chess Player
Current estimate
25 Aug 2027
6 comments
30 forecasters
Date Firouzja Becomes #1 Ranked Chess Player
Current estimate
>Jan 2035
15 comments
72 forecasters
Next #1 FIDE-Ranked Chess Player
Fabiano Caruana
22.2%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
13%
Dommaraju Gukesh
13%
Alireza Firouzja
10%
12 others
36 comments
48 forecasters
Date of First Woman World Championship Win
Current estimate
2092
11 comments
30 forecasters
Levy Rozman GM
20%
chance
1 comment
11 forecasters
Hans Niemann World Chess Champion before 2050?
Classical
3.9%
Rapid
14%
Blitz
11%
32 comments
113 forecasters
Date AI achieves ≥98th percentile Mensa score
Current estimate
28 Jul 2026
9 comments
11 forecasters
When AI to exceed 130 IQ
Current estimate
24 Jun 2026