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Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?


Since the election of Xi Jinping, China has substantially slowed or stopped its previous trend of gradually increasing openness to and economic integration with the outside world.

The Covid-19 pandemic has only accelerated the decoupling of China's economy from the US. China has banned the entry of foreign nationals and regards those inside its border with suspicion.

This question asks, will Mainland China be less open to the world in 2030 than it was in 2010?

Specifically, will the number of foreign nationals living in China as reported on the 8th national census (assuming it takes place in 2030) be less than the number reported on the 6th national census in 2010?

The question resolves positively if the number of foreign nationals residing in Mainland China reported in the 8th census is lower than the number reported in the 6th census (593,832).

The question resolves negatively if the number reported in the 8th census census is greater than or equal to the number from the 6th census.

If for some reason the 8th national census is not conducted in 2030, or the results are not available by the closing date (Dec 31,2032), the question resolves ambiguously.


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