Question
How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
59.7 countries
(31.3 countries - 83.2 countries)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 | 2.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 31.31 | — |
| median | 59.72 | — |
| upper 75% | 83.21 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2020
Closes:Feb 5, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2020
Closes:Feb 5, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2020