Question
How many months of 2020 will be declared "earth's warmest on record" by NOAA?
Resolved:3Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
3.14
(2.95 - 4.03)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.946 | — |
| median | 3.138 | — |
| upper 75% | 4.031 | — |
What was the final result?3
Community Baseline Score
109.9
Community Peer Score
43.3
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2020
Closes:Oct 13, 2020
Resolves:Jan 21, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2020
Closes:Oct 13, 2020
Resolves:Jan 21, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2020