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32 forecasters

7

32 forecasters

Metaculus vs. Experts: Will experts beat Metaculus on LRT1 questions resolving before 10th of May?

Ambiguous

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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12 comments177 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

36 comments117 forecasters

Date of Last Metaculus Resolution

Current estimate

55 comments539 forecasters

Metaculus Existence in 2030

17 comments149 forecasters

Metaculus Predicts AI Risk Significant 2040

10 comments60 forecasters

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

15 comments81 forecasters

2027 AI Bet winner between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage?

Miles Brundage10%

4 comments38 forecasters

CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe

51 comments344 forecasters

Time From (weak) AGI to Superintelligence

Current estimate