Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
16
242
forecasters
55
16 comments
242 forecasters
AI Progress Essay Contest
4 more...
In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?
Follow
share
embed
Latest estimate
Dec 2031
Dec 2031
(02 Dec 2027 - Feb 2037)
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (16)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
12 comments
43 forecasters
90% of US road vehicles sold in 2075 have Level 5 autonomy?
92%
chance
36 comments
122 forecasters
Electric Cars 5% of US Passenger Fleet
Current estimate
03 Jul 2028
19 comments
86 forecasters
Electric vehicle production in the US in 2027
Current estimate
15.7%
0 comments
4 forecasters
Public transit in these US cities fully autonomous when?
Current estimate
Jan 2038
26 comments
82 forecasters
% of Car Sales All-Electric in US 2050
Current estimate
84.6%
24 comments
57 forecasters
% Electric Car Sales in China 2035
Current estimate
94.9%
25 comments
54 forecasters
Two states ban human-driven vehicles
Current estimate
May 2068
18 comments
16 forecasters
Non-Tesla vehicles w/ Tesla software by 2030?
Current estimate
65.7k vehicles