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16
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242
forecasters
In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?
Latest estimate
Dec 2031
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Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Jan 22, 2017
Closed:
Jan 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Jan 24, 2017
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Uber CEO says all cars will be autonomous in '20 plus years.' Driving will be 'something like horseback riding.'
Business Insider
•
Oct 30, 2025
Lucid jumps on the ‘privately owned’ autonomous vehicle bandwagon
Verge
•
Oct 29, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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