65 forecasters

LRT 2.3.1: Will total newly reported deaths in the U.S. first fall below 5,000 on the 7-day period ending on May 2nd or the 7-day period ending on May 9th?

5%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 27, 2020

Closes:

Apr 28, 2020

Resolved:

May 10, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 27, 2020